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The constituency is recognised as a top target seat for the [[Liberal Democrats (UK)|Liberal Democrats]] against the [[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]. The Liberal Democrats' candidate was just 405 votes behind the successful Labour candidate, MP [[Nigel Griffiths]], in the last general election.
The constituency is recognised as a top target seat for the [[Liberal Democrats (UK)|Liberal Democrats]] against the [[Labour Party (UK)|Labour Party]]. The Liberal Democrats' candidate was just 405 votes behind the successful Labour candidate, MP [[Nigel Griffiths]], in the last general election.


Nigel Griffiths is expected to stand again as the Labour candidate in the [[Next United Kingdom general election|next general election]]. The Scottish Conservatives have selected local activist Neil Hudson as their candidate whilst the [[Liberal Democrats (UK)|Liberal Democrats]] have selected former [[City of Edinburgh Council|City of Edinburgh councillor]] Fred Mackintosh as theirs.
Nigel Griffiths is expected to stand again as the Labour candidate in the [[Next United Kingdom general election|next general election]]. The [[Liberal Democrats (UK)|Liberal Democrats]] have selected former [[City of Edinburgh Council|City of Edinburgh councillor]] Fred Mackintosh as their candidate. The Scottish Conservatives have selected vet Neil Hudson as their candidate. The SNP have selected financial consultant Sandy Howat as their candidate.


On 23 March 2008 former Labour [[Home Secretary]] [[Charles Clarke]] included Edinburgh South in his Doomsday Memo [http://extras.timesonline.co.uk/doomsdaymemo.pdf] of 35 constituencies which Labour could loose to other parties if fewer than 7,500 voters switched sides. He predicted that Edinburgh South would be lost to the Liberal Democrats by a swing of under 0.5%.
A Politcs Home poll of marginal seats, one of the most extensive in the UK{{fact|date=September 2008}} and published September 2008, showed a Conservative gain.{{fact|date=September 2008}}

A Politics Home poll of a group of 19 Scottish marginal constituencies carried out between 22nd July and 4th August 2008 and published 20 September 2008, predicted that Edinburgh South would have then been a Conservative gain .{{fact|date=September 2008}}


== Members of Parliament ==
== Members of Parliament ==

Revision as of 22:54, 21 September 2008

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Edinburgh South is a constituency of the House of Commons of the Parliament of the United Kingdom, first used in the general election of 1885. It elects one Member of Parliament (MP) by the first past the post system of election.

Prior to the 2005 general election the constituency had the same boundaries as the Scottish Parliament constituency with the same name. See Edinburgh South (Scottish Parliament constituency).

Boundaries

When created in 1885, the Westminster constituency was partly a replacement for the Edinburgh constituency.

In 1918 the constituency consisted of the "Merchiston, Morningside, and Newington Municipal Wards of Edinburgh."

In 2005, prior to the general election, Edinburgh South was one of six covering the City of Edinburgh council area. Five were entirely within the city council area. One, Edinburgh East and Musselburgh, straddled the boundary with the East Lothian council area, to take in Musselburgh.

For the 2005 election, the constituency was enlarged to enclude areas from the former Edinburgh Pentlands constituency, and became one of five constituencies covering the city area, all entirely within that area.[1]

The constituency covers a southern portion of the city area, and is predominantly suburban. In terms of wards used in elections to the City of Edinburgh Council 1999 to 2007, it includes the wards of Alnwickhill, Fairmilehead, Gilmerton, Kaimes, Marchmont, Merchiston, Moredun, Newington, North Morningside and the Grange, Sciennes, and South Morningside. These wards are due to be replaced with new wards in 2007, as a result of the Local Governance (Scotland) Act 2004.

Next election

The constituency is recognised as a top target seat for the Liberal Democrats against the Labour Party. The Liberal Democrats' candidate was just 405 votes behind the successful Labour candidate, MP Nigel Griffiths, in the last general election.

Nigel Griffiths is expected to stand again as the Labour candidate in the next general election. The Liberal Democrats have selected former City of Edinburgh councillor Fred Mackintosh as their candidate. The Scottish Conservatives have selected vet Neil Hudson as their candidate. The SNP have selected financial consultant Sandy Howat as their candidate.

On 23 March 2008 former Labour Home Secretary Charles Clarke included Edinburgh South in his Doomsday Memo [1] of 35 constituencies which Labour could loose to other parties if fewer than 7,500 voters switched sides. He predicted that Edinburgh South would be lost to the Liberal Democrats by a swing of under 0.5%.

A Politics Home poll of a group of 19 Scottish marginal constituencies carried out between 22nd July and 4th August 2008 and published 20 September 2008, predicted that Edinburgh South would have then been a Conservative gain .[citation needed]

Members of Parliament

Elected Member Party
style="background-color: Template:Liberal Party (UK)/meta/color" | 1885 George Harrison Liberal
style="background-color: Template:Liberal Party (UK)/meta/color" | 1886 Hugh Childers Liberal
style="background-color: Template:Liberal Party (UK)/meta/color" | 1892 Herbert Paul Liberal
style="background-color: Template:Liberal Party (UK)/meta/color" | 1895 Robert Cox Liberal
style="background-color: Template:Liberal Party (UK)/meta/color" | 1899 Arthur Dewar Liberal
style="background-color: Template:Liberal Party (UK)/meta/color" | 1900 Sir Andrew Agnew, 9th Baronet Liberal
style="background-color: Template:Liberal Party (UK)/meta/color" | 1906 Arthur Dewar Liberal
style="background-color: Template:Liberal Party (UK)/meta/color" | 1910 Charles Henry Lyell Liberal
style="background-color: Template:Liberal Party (UK)/meta/color" | 1917 James Edward Parrott Liberal
style="background-color: Template:Unionist Party (Scotland)/meta/color" | 1918 Charles David Murray Unionist
style="background-color: Template:Unionist Party (Scotland)/meta/color" | 1922 Samuel Chapman Unionist
style="background-color: Template:Unionist Party (Scotland)/meta/color" | 1945 William Darling Unionist
style="background-color: Template:Unionist Party (Scotland)/meta/color" | 1957

Michael Clark Hutchison

Unionist
style="background-color: Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" | 1965 Conservative
style="background-color: Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" | 1979 Michael Ancram Conservative
style="background-color: Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color" | 1987 Nigel Griffiths Labour

Election results

General Election 2005: Edinburgh South
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Nigel Griffiths 14,188 33.2% -9.0
Liberal Democrats Marilyne MacLaren 13,783 32.3% +4.9
Conservative Gavin Brown 10,291 24.1% +7.5
SNP Graham Sutherland 2,635 6.2% -3.7
Scottish Green Steve Burgess 1,387 3.2% N/A
Scottish Socialist Morag Robertson 414 1.0% -1.5
Majority 405 0.9% -13.9
Turnout 42,693 70.0 +12.3
Labour hold Swing -6.5
General Election 2001: Edinburgh South
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Nigel Griffiths 15,671 42.2% -4.7
Liberal Democrats Marilyne MacLaren 10,172 27.4% +9.7
Conservative Gordon Buchan 6,172 16.6% -4.7
SNP Heather Williams 3,683 9.9% -3.0
Scottish Socialist Colin Fox 933 2.5% N/A
Legalise Cannabis Margaret Hendry 535 1.4% N/A
Majority 5,499 14.8% -10.7
Turnout 37,166 57.7% -14.1
Labour hold Swing
General Election 1997: Edinburgh South
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Nigel Griffiths 20,993 46.8%
Conservative Elizabeth Smith 9,541 21.3%
Liberal Democrats Mike Pringle 7,911 17.6%
SNP John Hargreaves 5,791 12.9%
Referendum Ian McLean 504 1.1%
Natural Law Bradley Dunn 98 0.2%
Majority 11,452 25.5%
Turnout 71.8
Labour hold Swing +8.1
General Election 1992: Edinburgh South
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Nigel Griffiths 18,485
Conservative Struan Stevenson 14,309
Liberal Democrats B. McCreadie 5,961
SNP R. Knox 5,727
Natural Law G. Manclark 108
Majority 4,176
Turnout 72.67
Labour hold Swing
General Election 1935: Edinburgh South
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Sir Samuel Chapman 27,254
Labour Mrs B. Woodburn 5,365
General Election 1931: Edinburgh South
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Sir Samuel Chapman unopposed
General Election 1918: Edinburgh South [2]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Maj Charles David Murray CMG KC 14,854
Liberal D. Caird 4,955
General Election 1906: Edinburgh South
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Arthur Dewar KC 8,945 59.9
Conservative William C. Smith KC 5,985 40.1
By-election 1899: Edinburgh South
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Arthur Dewar KC 5,820
Conservative Maj.-Gen. A. G. Wauchope 4,989


General Election 1895: Edinburgh South
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Unionist Robert Cox 4,902
Liberal Herbert Woodfield Paul 4,795
Majority 97
General Election 1892: Edinburgh South
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Herbert Woodfield Paul 4,682
Liberal Unionist L. McIver 4,251
Majority 431
General Election 1886: Edinburgh South
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Hugh Childers 3,778
Liberal Unionist Robert Purvis 2,191
Majority 1,587

At a by-election on 9 February 1886, Mr Childers having accepted office, he was returned unopposed.

By-election 29 Jan 1886: Edinburgh South
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Hugh Childers 4,029
Conservative Hon Walter George Hepburne-Scott 1,730
General Election 1885: Edinburgh South
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Sir George Harrison 4,273
Liberal Thomas Raleigh 2,874
Majority 1,399

Notes and references

See also